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hcvslayer last won the day on January 4

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About hcvslayer

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  • Birthday 07/16/1955

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    the place of my birth
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    Question the collective narrative!

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  1. the reassortant H5N6 has gone from wild birds to domestic farms, it was only a matter of time.. "A reassortant H5N6 avian flu virus detected in three Asian nations over the past few weeks has been confirmed in an outbreak in the Netherlands." "South Korea—one of the countries that has already reported outbreaks from the H5N6 reassortant this season—reported another at a duck farm." "The outbreak in the Netherlands was first reported on Dec 8, and government officials had said initial tests from the duck farm near the city of Dronten was likely a highly pathogenic strain." "The Netherlands is the fifth country to report the H5N6 reassortant, which is similar to a virus fist identified in Greece during last winter's extensive H5N8 outbreaks that struck Europe and other parts of the world. The virus is a reassortant of highly pathogenic H5N8 and endemic Eurasian viruses." http://www.cidrap.umn.edu/news-perspective/2017/12/h5n6-avian-flu-reassortant-confirmed-dutch-outbreak
  2. H3N2 is a bugger of a flu... those who are older or have a weak immune system are subject to getting real sick with the virus. tamiflu would help for those who are at risk..
  3. "...the company's decision to mandate that all healthcare employees, staff, and volunteers get the seasonal flu vaccine this year, a decision that led to dozens being fired." "But Gaston De Serres, MD an epidemiologist at the Institute National de Sante Publique du Quebec, said that mandates like Essentia's are at best misguided attempts at patient protection, and at worst, a rule that's based more on ideology than science." "Earlier this year, De Serres co-authored a paper published in PloS One that showed little or no protection was extended to patients when healthcare workers had received flu shots." ""I'm convinced that taking everyone's temperature before they worked would have more impact in promoting patient safety than mandating the flu shot,” Osterholm said. "If it's a requirement, it's on us to show the data demonstrating that it's useful. We don't have that."" http://www.cidrap.umn.edu/news-perspective/2017/11/health-worker-firings-spark-debate-mandating-flu-vaccine
  4. thnx for clarification breezy : ) i did misunderstand but was glad to add some info that i had found re marburg virus. as for bird flu, the H5N6 virus found in korea is a new reassortant virus and not the one that ran through last year. it also has been found in a dead wild bird in japan...it is highly pathogenic to birds...CIDRAP has a blurb on it below... http://www.cidrap.umn.edu/news-perspective/2017/11/news-scan-nov-29-2017 avian flu diary more detailed...bottom line is that these viruses are re-inventing their selves and are becoming endemic in wild/waterfowl and migratory pathways. http://afludiary.blogspot.com/2017/11/tottori-university-shimane-hpai-h5n6.html H7N9 has had 5 waves and below is a graph where you can see what happened with the 5th wave...H7N9 if we begin a 6th wave is worth a big watch as it has a great potential to adapt to human to human transmission..it has made a number of mammalian adaptations in a new highly pathogenic version (hpai)... "All of these studies suggest that HPAI H7N9 has acquired important mammalian adaptations that may increase both its virulence, and its transmissibility, and together they may enhance its pandemic potential.While all very concerning, particularly on top of seeing a record number of human H7N9 infections during the 5th epidemic wave (see chart at top of blog), we haven't (yet) seen any signs of increased human-to-human transmission in the field. " http://afludiary.blogspot.com/2017/11/eid-journal-clusters-of-h7n9-in-china.html
  5. one of the marburg victims had travelled to kenya. as of yet no kenyan infections but they are on the look out. the horror of hemorrhagic fever is the overt bleeding, a manifestation of the cytokine storm causing DIC ( disseminated intravascular coagulation) all the clotting factors get used up and with no more left the body bleeds . this we see in any overwhelming sepsis along with multi organ failure. 1918 bird flu was hemorrhagic on a global, pandemic level. difference is that this virus can be contained like ebola since they are body fluid spread. think of a novel air born avian flu as marburg or ebola with wings !! heres what i found: "The MoH officially declared the outbreak on 19 October 2017. As of 14 November, three cases have been reported including two confirmed cases, and one probable case. All three cases have died, resulting in a case fatality rate of 100%. The cases were epidemiologically linked and all belong to the same family." "Active case search, death surveillance, safe and dignified burials and community mobilization are ongoing in Kween and Kapchorwa districts. In Uganda, of the 339 contacts listed, 283 have completed 21 days of follow-up and 56 are still being monitored. Contact follow-up is ongoing in Kween for the 56 contacts, while In Kapchorwa District, all the listed contacts have completed the 21 days follow-up period. All remaining contacts are expected to complete 21 days of follow up on 16 November 2017. Enhanced surveillance activities will continue until 7 December 2017." "A media signal about quarantine measures being implemented by Kenya on the border with the affected areas in Uganda was verified; the signal was not confirmed by the health authorities in Kenya." http://www.who.int/csr/don/15-november-2017-marburg-uganda-kenya/en/
  6. H7n9 has great potential to breakout as does H5N6...all in the news....a few countries and it looks like south korea will take another big hit this year...the roller coaster ride of bird flu is clickity clackity climbing slow but...here we go again...HANG ON...
  7. here is europes updated pandemic preparedness plan and the U.S updated preparedness plan for your convenient perusal. i will comment a lil on U.S document. https://ecdc.europa.eu/sites/portal/files/documents/Guide-to-pandemic-preparedness-revised.pdf https://www.cdc.gov/flu/pandemic-resources/pdf/pan-flu-report-2017v2.pdf from CDC doc: " The novel virus will have the ability to spread rapidly worldwide. If the pandemic is characterized by severe disease, it will have the potential to disrupt national and community infrastructures (including health care, transportation, commerce, utilities, and public safety) due to widespread illness, absenteeism, and death among workers and their families, as well as concern about ongoing exposure to the virus. Not all jurisdictions will experience clusters of disease simultaneously; however, near- simultaneous clusters likely will occur in many communities across the United States, thereby limiting the ability of any jurisdiction to support and assist other jurisdictions. " " Children will shed the greatest amount of virus and, therefore, are likely to pose the greatest risk for transmission. The most severely ill people with influenza will shed the most virus for the longest period of time. One or two secondary infections will occur as a result of transmission from someone who is ill. In contrast, some estimates from past pandemics have been higher, with up to three secondary infections per primary case. " " Table A.1. Estimated Illness, Types of Medical Care, and Deaths from a Moderate to Very Severe Influenza Pandemic Pandemic Severity (based on multiple factors Transmissibility (% of US populationb with clinical illness) Illness Outpatient medical care Hospitali- zation ICU care Deaths Moderate 20% 64,000,000 32,000,000 800,000 160,000 48,000 30% 96,000,000 48,000,000 1,200,000 240,000 72,000 Severe 20% 64,000,000 32,000,000 3,800,000 1,200,000 510,000 30% 96,000,000 48,000,000 5,800,000 1,700,000 770,000 Very Severe 20% 64,000,000 32,000,000 7,700,000 2,300,000 1,300,000 30% 96,000,000 48,000,000 11,500,000 3,500,000 1,930,000 a Adapted from Reed C, Biggerstaff M, Finelli L, Koonin LM, Beauvais D, Uzicanin A, Plummer A, Bresee J, Redd SC, Jernigan DB. Novel framework for assessing epidemiologic effects of influenza epidemics and pandemics. Emerg Inf Dis 2013; 19:85-91 b 2015 US Population estimate used for calculation.
  8. well it is that time of year again and this one may be a doozie...starting slow with a consumer reports article. a quote from CIDRAP director from short article worth reading... "What the rapidly mutating pathogen will do this year is still anyone's guess, but epidemiologists are on high alert. "Bird flu is our number one, two, and three priority," says Michael Osterholm, Ph.D., director of the Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy at the University of Minnesota. "For both birds and humans." https://www.consumerreports.org/flu/what-you-need-to-know-about-bird-flu/
  9. not fair of them to call the man an idiot for boogey boarding the surge waves. no rocks to be pounded into . catch a bad wave and you get sand pounded, thats about it . he made proper entry, showed he knew what he was doing...fun. when i lived in malibu i enjoyed body surfing and wave size similar. not fair they call the guy an idiot for that. what do they call the guys that watch and listen to the weather forecasts daily for the mavericks off of half moon bay.......surfers. now this is what you call a wave...a storm wave...a maverick.
  10. japan still having outbreaks.... "In Miyagi, a response unit has been set up and the Self-Defense Forces have been asked to help cull the infected birds." http://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2017/03/24/national/300000-chickens-doomed-bird-flu-spreads-miyagi-chiba/#.WNT0KhiZNrI another commercial farm with bird flu in alabama. tennessee and kentucky also infected... "An expert at Auburn University says it's too early to say whether the outbreak with worsen or fade away." http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/A/AL_BIRD_FLU_ALOL-?SITE=AP&SECTION=HOME&TEMPLATE=DEFAULT&CTIME=2017-03-23-11-35-46 http://afludiary.blogspot.com/2017/03/alabama-confirms-4th-county-with-lpai.html
  11. this news article is worth a read . short, 13 paragraphs. u.s. tyson chicken is taking hit right now...e.u. , asia, africa, globally inundated with bird flus which are now endemic in the waterfowl and their GLOBAL migratory pathways. brazils meat scandal was not caused by bird flu, but the potential of its part in a global crisis has been highly potentiated by it . mass monoculture facilities we have come to depend upon. we were warned of the dangers and foolishness of monoculture, water mis-use, overfishing, agri-chemical pollutions, pharma pollutions, all pollutions. the vectors , mosquitos, ticks, fleas et. al losing bats and reptiles and amphibians to keep them in check. bacteria that has become and more each day, not only multi drug resistant but TOTAL drug resistance ...the year of the fire rooster...chicken may have come home to roost.... http://www.gulf-times.com/story/539693/Brazil-tainted-meat-scandal-leaves-the-world-very-
  12. maybe this should be in life after trump thread, but belongs here also...a letter from pocahontas to cdc "We write regarding a report earlier this month about "a surge in human infections of a deadly bird flu in China [that] is prompting increasing concern among health officials around the world . . . [and that] poses the greatest risk of a pandemic threat if it evolves to spread readily from human to human."" "Before leaving the CDC in January 2017, the former Director, Dr. Thomas Frieden, stated his concerns about such a pandemic, noting that the greatest public health threat we face is "always for an influenza pandemic," and that "If the resistant organisms emerge in one part of the world, they will inevitably come to other parts of the world. . . . " https://www.warren.senate.gov/files/documents/2017_3_13_Letter_to_CDC.pdf
  13. h7n9 east strain vs west strain. china and u.s. "China is experiencing its fifth and biggest wave of H7N9 activity, which surged dramatically in December and peaked in February." ""Of the 84 patients noted in the WHO updates, illness onsets ranged from Feb 24 to Mar 4. Fourteen deaths were reported, and for patients with available clinical information, 60 have pneumonia or severe pneumonia. One had a mild infection." "Of the three clusters, two involve people from Anhui province. One cluster of three patients includes a 29-year-old man who had been exposed to live poultry and was hospitalized for a severe pneumonia. His 58-year-old father who helped care for the man also got sick but had also been exposed to live poultry. The cluster also includes a 62-year-old woman who was in the same hospital ward as the younger man and who died from her illness." http://www.cidrap.umn.edu/news-perspective/2017/03/detailing-recent-h7n9-cases-who-notes-3-clusters "Alabama agriculture officials are investigating suspected avian flu outbreaks at three locations in the northern part of the state, close to where H7N9 outbreaks—one highly pathogenic and one low pathogenic—were recently reported on two Tennessee farms." "According to the Alabama Cooperative Extension System, the state is the nation's second largest broiler producer, part of its $15 billion poultry and egg industry." http://www.cidrap.umn.edu/news-perspective/2017/03/alabama-officials-investigate-3-avian-flu-detections "A form of bird flu that is highly lethal for poultry has infected a second commercial chicken farm in Tennessee that supplies Tyson Foods Inc " "The finding expands an outbreak near the major chicken-producing states of Alabama and Georgia, and is the second in the type of breeder flock crucial for keeping the chicken-meat industry supplied with birds." http://www.nasdaq.com/article/bird-flu-hits-another-us-farm-that-supplies-tyson-foods-20170316-00957
  14. luv ya lots my friend, lil mouse bears gift and wishes this morning when she sees ya...